www.bethelfinance.com
Calls
mounted Wednesday for Finance Minister Yair Lapid to lower taxes,
following the finance ministry's revelation that the deficit is on
track to come in well below its 4.65% of GDP target for the year.
"It
turns out Lapid was not forced to raise your taxes," Opposition
Leader Shelly Yacimovich said Wednesday at a Small and Medium
Businesses conference in Airport City. "The new data published
in light of the changes to the method of measuring [GDP] and economic
growth confirm and reinforce our position, that from the start there
was no need to impose such hard measures on the public."
Following
a deficit explosion in 2012 that came in at over double the original
target, the newly anointed Lapid cut proposed government spending and
raised taxes for 2013 and 2014 in order to fill the budget hole and
bring the deficit down to sustainable levels. Alongside the new
method of calculating GDP, which added some NIS 66 billion to the
estimated size of Israel's economy in 2013, a combination of
higher-than-expected tax revenues and lower-than-expected spending
brought the 12-month deficit in August down to 3.3% of GDP.
Yacimovich
took the opportunity to blast Lapid for unpopular tax policies, which
have included hikes on cigarettes and beer, a VAT increase, and an
income tax increases set to go into effect in 2014. She also blasted
him for not tackling corporate tax benefits, used to incentivize
capital investments in the economy.
"Take
the 4 billion shekels in tax benefits that the four biggest companies
in the economy received in 2010, divide it into 4,000 small and
medium businesses, a million shekels per business, and you've
immediately got job creation, a real fight against concentration,
growth, reduced gaps and entrepreneurship," she said.
Opposition
politicians were not the only ones looking for changes, however;
business groups also got in on the action.
The
Federation of Israeli Chambers of Commerce, a business lobby, called
on Lapid to undo the hike in the corporate tax rate, and bring it
back down to 25% from 26.5%.
"For
the first time in Israel's history the national output has reached
NIS 1 trillion, and we must continue the growth momentum," FICC
President Uriel Lynn said speaking at the same conference. "The
improvement in the state budget should be seen as an opportunity to
establish long-term policies that will give new momentum to the
business sector, so I turn from this stage to the finance minister
and suggest to him to take advantage of this opportunity now."
In
Tel Aviv, the Israel Securities Authority released a committee report
on improving liquidity in the stock market. Among its recommendations
to Lapid: lower capital gains taxes to 15%.
"Reducing
the tax rate will help the stock exchange companies raise capital in
the stock market and may actually cause an increase in government tax
revenues from capital gains," the report said.
But
even ISA chairman Shmuel Hauser agreed that while the committee
recommendations served their specific policy goals, it was up to the
tax authority and finance ministry to weigh the broader implications
of various tax increases. “The committee found that lowering
capital gains taxes will increase liquidity and even help revenue,”
he told The Jerusalem Post. “But it’s up to them to weigh the
competing goals. We’re not the experts on that.”
Though
a lower deficit is in many ways welcome for Lapid and the economy at
large, balancing the political pressure to roll back tax increases
may prove difficult when weighed against other economic realities.
In
2014 the deficit target will drop to 3% of GDP, and despite the
impending income tax increase, many economists believe it will be
difficult for the budget to stay in bounds.
"We
believe that the deficit in the next budget year will be higher than
the target, and will come out around 3.6 percent (compared to three
percent according to the government target," analysts at Harel
Finance wrote in a macroeconomic survey the start of the month,
though the new GDP formula would bring that figure down somewhat.
"The
meaning will be additional budget cuts (in our opinion, the ability
to raise taxes has been completely exhausted), which will have a
negative impact on economic activity."